Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 1389.680443 1590.402672 1816.422591 2091.037774 2417.349451 2794.757128 3267.278006
2025-07-20 1091.272757 1351.147396 1673.383293 2107.511571 2685.096228 3438.636096 4515.438918
2025-07-27 950.169309 1237.058911 1615.712654 2162.259556 2948.239329 4065.456789 5826.114197
2025-08-03 847.587593 1148.285599 1565.499069 2202.618689 3180.455997 4676.524488 7247.659762
2025-08-10 780.538860 1094.491521 1549.526816 2280.120294 3469.601979 5418.097997 9055.598693
2025-08-17 712.710739 1028.465412 1503.197061 2298.713399 3662.003731 6034.539618 10809.906714
2025-08-24 652.787665 965.791820 1451.737411 2297.547324 3815.565203 6608.343215 12642.055565
2025-08-31 604.207557 914.439757 1410.443515 2304.667794 3980.809944 7232.812013 14762.842667
2025-09-07 568.159090 878.684404 1389.339738 2341.926004 4205.341959 8017.966548 17494.748425
2025-09-14 518.467818 815.287184 1314.150254 2269.866852 4203.579639 8332.390125 19209.205903
2025-09-21 476.326544 760.591897 1248.082709 2205.530956 4205.401643 8653.059662 21051.981415
2025-09-28 438.477247 709.911217 1183.978680 2136.459008 4185.228317 8918.360285 22842.501136
2025-10-05 423.936554 700.047244 1195.069355 2222.864603 4530.618240 10171.845569 28179.127792
2025-10-12 402.042075 675.265178 1176.328937 2246.973897 4744.072819 11166.576992 33273.348663
2025-10-19 386.429314 660.303905 1174.272758 2305.382281 5049.903580 12498.736478 40323.341220
2025-10-26 370.534769 643.269853 1166.150305 2349.081132 5328.838519 13845.779374 48338.573205
2025-11-02 359.994527 635.383024 1175.283343 2432.856326 5729.997943 15699.745664 59893.912663
2025-11-09 344.144204 615.754022 1158.213275 2452.965072 5964.616337 17110.121113 70627.310867
2025-11-16 327.725960 593.633637 1133.689000 2451.703801 6139.794249 18387.470775 81878.342778
2025-11-23 313.416297 574.600864 1113.894865 2459.404901 6343.946998 19850.991804 95682.993516
2025-11-30 302.784160 562.211577 1107.320804 2499.707508 6657.210690 21858.811163 115204.159146
2025-12-07 284.047095 531.664309 1057.739303 2421.769941 6583.565161 22306.581730 124788.858192
2025-12-14 267.370885 504.352524 1013.265810 2352.219638 6525.178844 22810.459970 135562.743390